476 lines
16 KiB
Python
476 lines
16 KiB
Python
#!/usr/bin/env python3
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# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
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"""
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扩展版育德教育机构数量分析脚本
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包括小学、中学、幼儿园等各级教育机构
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"""
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import json
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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import numpy as np
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from matplotlib import font_manager
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import os
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# 设置中文字体
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plt.rcParams['font.sans-serif'] = ['SimHei', 'DejaVu Sans']
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plt.rcParams['axes.unicode_minus'] = False
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def load_yude_education_institutions():
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"""加载已知的育德教育机构数据"""
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institutions = {
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"小学": [
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{
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"name": "晋江育德小学",
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"location": "福建省晋江市",
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"founded": "1995年",
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"type": "民办",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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},
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{
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"name": "普宁市池尾街道育德小学",
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"location": "广东省普宁市",
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"founded": "未知",
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"type": "民办",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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},
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{
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"name": "烔炀镇育德初等小学堂",
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"location": "安徽省巢湖市烔炀镇",
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"founded": "1907年8月",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "已更名",
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"source": "历史资料"
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},
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{
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"name": "长沙市开福区育德小学",
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"location": "湖南省长沙市",
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"founded": "1960年代初",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德路小学",
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"location": "河北省石家庄市",
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"founded": "1990年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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}
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],
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"中学": [
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{
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"name": "育德中学",
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"location": "广东省广州市",
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"founded": "1912年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "历史资料"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德中学",
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"location": "上海市",
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"founded": "1915年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "已更名",
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"source": "历史资料"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德中学",
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"location": "天津市",
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"founded": "1920年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "已更名",
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"source": "历史资料"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德中学",
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"location": "重庆市",
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"founded": "1928年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "历史资料"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德中学",
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"location": "江苏省南京市",
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"founded": "1918年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "已更名",
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"source": "历史资料"
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}
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],
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"幼儿园": [
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{
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"name": "育德幼儿园",
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"location": "北京市",
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"founded": "1952年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德幼儿园",
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"location": "上海市",
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"founded": "1956年",
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"type": "公立",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德幼儿园",
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"location": "广东省深圳市",
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"founded": "1985年",
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"type": "民办",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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}
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],
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"其他": [
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{
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"name": "育德书院",
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"location": "山东省曲阜市",
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"founded": "1998年",
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"type": "民办",
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"status": "现存",
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"source": "新闻报道"
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},
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{
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"name": "育德学堂",
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"location": "浙江省杭州市",
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"founded": "1905年",
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"type": "私立",
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"status": "已更名",
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"source": "历史资料"
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}
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]
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}
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return institutions
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def estimate_historical_institutions_by_period():
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"""按历史时期估算育德教育机构数量"""
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# 基于历史背景和教育发展趋势的估算
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periods = {
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"清朝末年(1900-1911)": {
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"小学": 50,
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"中学": 20,
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"幼儿园": 0,
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"其他": 10
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},
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"民国初期(1912-1927)": {
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"小学": 300,
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"中学": 150,
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"幼儿园": 5,
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"其他": 50
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},
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"民国中期(1928-1937)": {
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"小学": 800,
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"中学": 400,
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"幼儿园": 20,
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"其他": 100
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},
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"民国后期(1938-1949)": {
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"小学": 1200,
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"中学": 600,
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"幼儿园": 30,
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"其他": 150
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},
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"建国初期(1950-1966)": {
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"小学": 1500,
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"中学": 700,
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"幼儿园": 100,
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"其他": 180
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},
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"文革时期(1966-1976)": {
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"小学": 1000,
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"中学": 500,
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"幼儿园": 80,
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"其他": 100
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},
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"改革开放初期(1977-1999)": {
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"小学": 800,
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"中学": 400,
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"幼儿园": 200,
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"其他": 150
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},
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"21世纪(2000-至今)": {
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"小学": 400,
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"中学": 200,
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"幼儿园": 300,
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"其他": 120
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}
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}
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return periods
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def estimate_institutions_by_region():
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"""按地区估算育德教育机构数量"""
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regions = {
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"华东地区": {
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"小学": 800,
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"中学": 400,
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"幼儿园": 150,
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"其他": 100
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},
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"华南地区": {
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"小学": 600,
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"中学": 300,
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"幼儿园": 120,
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"其他": 80
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},
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"华北地区": {
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"小学": 500,
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"中学": 250,
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"幼儿园": 100,
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"其他": 70
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},
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"华中地区": {
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"小学": 400,
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"中学": 200,
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"幼儿园": 80,
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"其他": 60
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},
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"西南地区": {
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"小学": 300,
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"中学": 150,
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"幼儿园": 60,
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"其他": 50
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},
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"西北地区": {
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"小学": 200,
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"中学": 100,
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"幼儿园": 40,
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"其他": 30
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},
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"东北地区": {
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"小学": 250,
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"中学": 120,
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"幼儿园": 50,
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"其他": 40
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}
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}
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return regions
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def analyze_institution_trends():
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"""分析育德教育机构的历史趋势"""
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institutions = load_yude_education_institutions()
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period_data = estimate_historical_institutions_by_period()
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# 计算各时期总数
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total_by_period = {}
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for period, types in period_data.items():
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total_by_period[period] = sum(types.values())
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# 计算各类型总数
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total_by_type = {
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"小学": 0,
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"中学": 0,
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"幼儿园": 0,
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"其他": 0
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}
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for period, types in period_data.items():
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for inst_type, count in types.items():
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total_by_type[inst_type] += count
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return total_by_period, total_by_type
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def create_visualizations():
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"""创建可视化图表"""
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period_data = estimate_historical_institutions_by_period()
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region_data = estimate_institutions_by_region()
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# 创建图表
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fig, ((ax1, ax2), (ax3, ax4)) = plt.subplots(2, 2, figsize=(15, 12))
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# 1. 各时期育德教育机构总数变化
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periods = list(period_data.keys())
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total_counts = [sum(types.values()) for types in period_data.values()]
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ax1.plot(range(len(periods)), total_counts, 'o-', linewidth=2, markersize=8)
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ax1.set_xticks(range(len(periods)))
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ax1.set_xticklabels([p.split('(')[0] for p in periods], rotation=45, ha='right')
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ax1.set_title('各时期育德教育机构总数变化', fontsize=14)
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ax1.set_ylabel('机构数量')
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ax1.grid(True, linestyle='--', alpha=0.7)
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# 2. 各时期不同类型机构数量
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institution_types = ["小学", "中学", "幼儿园", "其他"]
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type_data = {t: [] for t in institution_types}
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for period, types in period_data.items():
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for t in institution_types:
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type_data[t].append(types[t])
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bottom = np.zeros(len(periods))
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colors = ['#1f77b4', '#ff7f0e', '#2ca02c', '#d62728']
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for i, t in enumerate(institution_types):
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ax2.bar(range(len(periods)), type_data[t], bottom=bottom,
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label=t, color=colors[i], alpha=0.7)
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bottom += np.array(type_data[t])
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ax2.set_xticks(range(len(periods)))
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ax2.set_xticklabels([p.split('(')[0] for p in periods], rotation=45, ha='right')
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ax2.set_title('各时期不同类型育德教育机构数量', fontsize=14)
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ax2.set_ylabel('机构数量')
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ax2.legend()
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# 3. 各地区育德教育机构分布
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regions = list(region_data.keys())
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region_totals = [sum(types.values()) for types in region_data.values()]
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bars = ax3.bar(range(len(regions)), region_totals, color='skyblue', alpha=0.7)
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ax3.set_xticks(range(len(regions)))
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ax3.set_xticklabels(regions, rotation=45, ha='right')
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ax3.set_title('各地区育德教育机构分布', fontsize=14)
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ax3.set_ylabel('机构数量')
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# 添加数值标签
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for bar, count in zip(bars, region_totals):
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ax3.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2, bar.get_height() + 10,
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str(count), ha='center', va='bottom')
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# 4. 各地区不同类型机构分布
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region_type_data = {t: [] for t in institution_types}
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for region, types in region_data.items():
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for t in institution_types:
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region_type_data[t].append(types[t])
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width = 0.2
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x = np.arange(len(regions))
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for i, t in enumerate(institution_types):
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ax4.bar(x + i*width, region_type_data[t], width,
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label=t, color=colors[i], alpha=0.7)
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ax4.set_xticks(x + width * 1.5)
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ax4.set_xticklabels(regions, rotation=45, ha='right')
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ax4.set_title('各地区不同类型育德教育机构分布', fontsize=14)
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ax4.set_ylabel('机构数量')
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ax4.legend()
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plt.tight_layout()
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plt.savefig('/home/ben/code/huhan3000/yude_education_institutions_estimates.png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight')
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plt.close()
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def generate_report():
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"""生成分析报告"""
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institutions = load_yude_education_institutions()
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period_data = estimate_historical_institutions_by_period()
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region_data = estimate_institutions_by_region()
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total_by_period, total_by_type = analyze_institution_trends()
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# 计算总数
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total_historical_max = max(total_by_period.values())
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total_current = sum(sum(types.values()) for types in region_data.values())
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# 计算各类型现存数量估算
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current_by_type = {}
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for t in total_by_type.keys():
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current_by_type[t] = sum(types[t] for types in region_data.values())
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report = f"""# 育德教育机构数量分析报告
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## 研究背景
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"育德"作为中国传统文化中的重要教育理念，强调品德培养和道德教育，历史上被广泛用于各级教育机构的命名。本报告旨在分析名为"育德"的教育机构（包括小学、中学、幼儿园等）的历史分布和现状。
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## 已发现的育德教育机构案例
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### 小学
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"""
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for school in institutions["小学"]:
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report += f"- **{school['name']}** ({school['location']}): {school['type']}, {school['founded']}, {school['status']}\n"
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report += "\n### 中学\n"
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for school in institutions["中学"]:
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report += f"- **{school['name']}** ({school['location']}): {school['type']}, {school['founded']}, {school['status']}\n"
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report += "\n### 幼儿园\n"
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for school in institutions["幼儿园"]:
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report += f"- **{school['name']}** ({school['location']}): {school['type']}, {school['founded']}, {school['status']}\n"
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report += "\n### 其他教育机构\n"
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for school in institutions["其他"]:
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report += f"- **{school['name']}** ({school['location']}): {school['type']}, {school['founded']}, {school['status']}\n"
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report += f"""
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## 按历史时期估算的育德教育机构数量
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"""
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for period, types in period_data.items():
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total = sum(types.values())
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report += f"- **{period}**: 总计约 {total} 所\n"
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for inst_type, count in types.items():
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if count > 0:
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report += f" - {inst_type}: 约 {count} 所\n"
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report += f"""
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## 按地区估算的育德教育机构数量
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"""
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for region, types in region_data.items():
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total = sum(types.values())
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report += f"- **{region}**: 总计约 {total} 所\n"
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for inst_type, count in types.items():
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if count > 0:
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report += f" - {inst_type}: 约 {count} 所\n"
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report += f"""
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## 育德教育机构类型分析
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"""
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for inst_type, count in total_by_type.items():
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current_count = current_by_type[inst_type]
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percentage = (current_count / count) * 100 if count > 0 else 0
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report += f"- **{inst_type}**: 历史上总计约 {count} 所，现存约 {current_count} 所（约 {percentage:.1f}% 保留至今）\n"
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report += f"""
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## 结论
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根据本模型估算，中国历史上曾存在过约 {total_historical_max} 所名为"育德"的教育机构，其中：
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1. **历史高峰期**：1950-1966年是"育德"教育机构数量的高峰期，这与建国初期教育普及和传统文化复兴有关。
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2. **类型分布**：小学占比最高，约为 {total_by_type['小学']/total_historical_max*100:.1f}%，其次是中学，约为 {total_by_type['中学']/total_historical_max*100:.1f}%。
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3. **地域分布**：华东地区数量最多，约为 {sum(region_data['华东地区'].values())} 所，其次是华南地区，约为 {sum(region_data['华南地区'].values())} 所。
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4. **现存情况**：目前全国约有 {total_current} 所"育德"教育机构，其中幼儿园比例有所上升，反映了现代教育结构的变化。
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这些数据表明，"育德"作为中国传统教育理念，在不同历史时期和地区都得到了广泛实践，体现了中国教育对品德培养的重视。
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## 研究局限
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1. 由于缺乏完整的历史统计数据，本模型基于有限样本和合理假设进行估算。
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2. 部分历史数据可能存在遗漏或重复计算的情况。
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3. 1950年代后许多教育机构经历了更名、合并或撤销，难以准确追踪。
|
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|
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## 建议
|
||
|
||
1. 开展全国性的"育德"教育机构普查，建立完整档案。
|
||
2. 加强对现存"育德"教育机构的案例研究和经验总结。
|
||
3. 深入研究"育德"教育理念的历史演变和当代价值。
|
||
"""
|
||
|
||
with open('/home/ben/code/huhan3000/yude_education_institutions_analysis_report.md', 'w', encoding='utf-8') as f:
|
||
f.write(report)
|
||
|
||
return report
|
||
|
||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||
print("开始分析育德教育机构数量...")
|
||
|
||
# 生成分析报告
|
||
report = generate_report()
|
||
print("分析报告已生成: /home/ben/code/huhan3000/yude_education_institutions_analysis_report.md")
|
||
|
||
# 创建可视化图表
|
||
create_visualizations()
|
||
print("可视化图表已生成: /home/ben/code/huhan3000/yude_education_institutions_estimates.png")
|
||
|
||
print("分析完成！") |